AU - Eagle Farm - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

26.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Gollan-trained SIMPLY EXCELS (1) was quickly back on track when beaten a whisker over this distance in a CL2 at the Sunshine Coast. He will push forward and has a jockey switch to the talented 7lbs claimer Williams. Has been kept on the fresh side and can go one better. STEIN (12) is a promising filly who was backed off the map leading and winning a Doomben Maiden over this trip. Will jump and run from an inside barrier and keeps the handy 4lbs claim. She won't have to improve much to be fighting out the finish. CINDERSEA (5) is also promising. Had been off the scene for 420 days but was too good for a CL2 field at Ipswich first up. Didn't have the best of it in a CL3 at the Gold Coast following and will be fitter again. Jumps from an awkward gate but has more up the sleeve. The 7lbs claim brings her right into it. CORRUPTED (6) is busting to win and there was only a nose in it at Doomben last time. Maps well with Ben Thompson aboard and she could take this out without surprise.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on January 1 over 6f, neck behind Blue Allure with 132lbs at $4. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Cl3 on December 3 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind The Hamo with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the key runner. 1st Pick 1 Simply Excels Jockey: Jai Williams Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Jai Williams T: Tony Gollan	142	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on January 1 over 6f, neck behind Blue Allure with 132lbs at $4. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Cl3 on December 3 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind The Hamo with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the key runner.
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.9 len at Doomben Mdn January 17 over 6f defeating Linwar with 119lbs at $1.35. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Hunter's Mate with 127lbs at $2.30. Will take catching again. 2nd Pick 12 Stein Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon Trainer: Chris & Corey Munce J: Tahlia Fenlon T: Chris & Corey Munce	128	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.9 len at Doomben Mdn January 17 over 6f defeating Linwar with 119lbs at $1.35. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Hunter's Mate with 127lbs at $2.30. Will take catching again.
5	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Ipswich Cl2-Sw January 10 over 5 ½f defeating Jenchick Boom with 123lbs at $4. Last start 4th of 8 at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw on January 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Greyzous carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Ready to peak after two runs back and is expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 5 Cindersea Jockey: Jasper Franklin Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Jasper Franklin T: Michael Freedman	143	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Ipswich Cl2-Sw January 10 over 5 ½f defeating Jenchick Boom with 123lbs at $4. Last start 4th of 8 at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw on January 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Greyzous carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Ready to peak after two runs back and is expected to be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.