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Resulted

AU - Cowra - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6.8f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
31.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CALYX ROSE (12) fitter with racing after being outclassed in two starts on the provincial circuit. Will appreciate the extra distance and no shock to see her take this out. Value prospect with Wadick aboard. GOODBYE STRANGER (3) ten-start maiden expected to go close in this weaker event. Thereabouts at his last four outings and better placed over this trip. Sure to be finishing off strongly. FRISKEE FROG (2) big improver when second over 6f at the Sapphire Coast on December 29. Gets Cahill's 7lbs claim again and near his top now. Value prospect. TOMCAT FLOWERS (5) failed to finish after running out sharply in the straight as fav at Queanbeyan over 6f on December 18. Since fitted with a smart 4f trial win at Warwick Farm and the blinkers go on. Can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Calyx Rose silk

Had two starts to date. At very big odds at debut, 8th of 10 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 6f, 5 len behind Doradus carrying 122lbs at $51. Second-up 5th of 9 at Wyong F&M Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Manaajem with 121lbs at $61. Heading the right way and looks ready to win.

1st Pick
12

Calyx Rose

Jockey: Zac Wadick

Trainer: Brad Widdup

J: Zac Wadick

T: Brad Widdup

128---34%

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At very big odds at debut, 8th of 10 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 6f, 5 len behind Doradus carrying 122lbs at $51. Second-up 5th of 9 at Wyong F&M Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Manaajem with 121lbs at $61. Heading the right way and looks ready to win.

3
Goodbye Stranger silk

Most recently 4th of 12 at Wagga Ctry Mdn on January 3 over 1m, 2.5 len behind It Is To Be carrying 122lbs at $13. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Queanbeyan Mdn-Sw on December 18 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Dodge The Dark with 130lbs at $3.40. Finds a winnable race.

2nd Pick
3

Goodbye Stranger

Jockey: Matthew Cahill

Trainer: Michael C Lynch

J: Matthew Cahill

T: Michael C Lynch

94---15%

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 12 at Wagga Ctry Mdn on January 3 over 1m, 2.5 len behind It Is To Be carrying 122lbs at $13. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Queanbeyan Mdn-Sw on December 18 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Dodge The Dark with 130lbs at $3.40. Finds a winnable race.

6
Dark Stratum silk

Second run back. First-up after eight months eased back early on 6th of 9 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw on January 4 over 5f, 6 len behind Zounaka with 127lbs at $71. Previously second-up eased back early on 5th of 8 at Newcastle Cg&E Mdn on May 9 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Meerut carrying 122lbs at $101. Rates highly and can improve sharply.

3rd Pick
6

Dark Stratum

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Richard Litt

J: Non Runner

T: Richard Litt

111---7%

Scratched

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after eight months eased back early on 6th of 9 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw on January 4 over 5f, 6 len behind Zounaka with 127lbs at $71. Previously second-up eased back early on 5th of 8 at Newcastle Cg&E Mdn on May 9 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Meerut carrying 122lbs at $101. Rates highly and can improve sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.