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5:05 AM

AU - Canberra - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.4f
OPEN
Synthetic
GOOD
19.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FINE VINTAGE (1) resumed for the in-form Pepper yard in an 82 at Wagga and needed the outing. He is proven second up and has plenty in the tank. Uses the low barrier and he's won twice over the trip. Loys' booking is a decent push for his chances. CRAVING MAGIC (2) missed a nose this grade and then came back and delivered the win. Carries more weight today but he's a live chance regardless. CYCLONE RUPERT (8) has been around the mark for Pepper in lesser grade. He maps well and carries 9lbs less. That gives him a chance. CHOP THE ICE (5) missed the hat-trick behind Craving Magic not beaten far and Vella puts a 7lbs claimer on for this. A bounce isn't out of the question.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Fine Vintage silk

Second run back. First-up after four months raced on the speed throughout before fading second last of 10 at Wagga Winter Bm82 on June 22 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Big Day Out carrying 134lbs at $13. Previously second-up ran last of 8 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm78 on November 29 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 11 len behind Romeo's Choice with 119lbs at $6.50. Rates highly at best and looks a big hope.

1st Pick
1

Fine Vintage

Jockey: Nick Heywood

Trainer: Luke Pepper

J: Nick Heywood

T: Luke Pepper

179---17%5/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months raced on the speed throughout before fading second last of 10 at Wagga Winter Bm82 on June 22 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Big Day Out carrying 134lbs at $13. Previously second-up ran last of 8 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm78 on November 29 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 11 len behind Romeo's Choice with 119lbs at $6.50. Rates highly at best and looks a big hope.

2
Craving Magic silk

At the latest run won by 0.5 len at this track Tab Fed Open 85 June 20 over 6f defeating Louie's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $3.90. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Tab Fed Open on June 6 over 6f, nose behind Chop The Ice carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Another bold showing is likely.

2nd Pick
2

Craving Magic

Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer: Rob Potter

J: Jean Van Overmeire

T: Rob Potter

146---37%7/4

Analysis

At the latest run won by 0.5 len at this track Tab Fed Open 85 June 20 over 6f defeating Louie's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $3.90. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Tab Fed Open on June 6 over 6f, nose behind Chop The Ice carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Another bold showing is likely.

8
Cyclone Rupert silk

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 at Nowra Cl3 on June 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Close Encounter with 130lbs at $5. The race before that 4th of 12 at Sapphire Coast Cl3 on June 8 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Loafer carrying 132lbs at $3.60. Best form stacks up nicely and worth another chance.

3rd Pick
8

Cyclone Rupert

Jockey: Brock Ryan

Trainer: Luke Pepper

J: Brock Ryan

T: Luke Pepper

175---13%7/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 at Nowra Cl3 on June 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Close Encounter with 130lbs at $5. The race before that 4th of 12 at Sapphire Coast Cl3 on June 8 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Loafer carrying 132lbs at $3.60. Best form stacks up nicely and worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.