AU - Canberra - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

8.7f

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive. STRAIGHT FIRE (7) won here this grade/trip and then went to Bathurst and went close in 66 over 1 ¼m as favourite. Comes back home and can bounce straight back, AVONVIEW (8) flopped on the wet at Wagga but the form prior is good for this. Just missed in similar here two back and he has an inside gate and the handy 4lbs claim. TAUMATA (9) settled back and just missed at Wagga and then here posting a strong relative figure. Didn't handle the wet track at Wagga last time and Heywood is reunited. Fit and this is a winnable assignment. TAYTAY BAY (6) resumed in solid order and then won a 58 at Nowra. Needs a good ride in stronger but he should be around the mark.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bathurst Bm66 on June 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.4 len behind On The Decs carrying 128lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Bm65 June 6 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Heir Jordan carrying 125lbs at $5. Well placed. Everything points towards a big run. 1st Pick 7 Straight Fire Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Todd Smart J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Todd Smart	125	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bathurst Bm66 on June 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.4 len behind On The Decs carrying 128lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Bm65 June 6 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Heir Jordan carrying 125lbs at $5. Well placed. Everything points towards a big run.
8	Most recently 7th of 12 at Wagga Bm66 on June 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 14 len behind First Day carrying 129lbs at $16. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.8 len behind Straight Fire carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Hard to fault at his best. 2nd Pick 8 Avonview Jockey: Claire Ramsbotham Trainer: B Joseph & P & M Jones J: Claire Ramsbotham T: B Joseph & P & M Jones	128	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 12 at Wagga Bm66 on June 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 14 len behind First Day carrying 129lbs at $16. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.8 len behind Straight Fire carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Hard to fault at his best.
9	At the latest run 8th of 12 at Wagga Bm66 on June 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 14 len behind First Day carrying 128lbs at $5. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.8 len behind Straight Fire carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Prepared to forget last start and capable of turning things around. 3rd Pick 9 Taumata Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Tim Donnelly J: Nick Heywood T: Tim Donnelly	122	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 12 at Wagga Bm66 on June 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 14 len behind First Day carrying 128lbs at $5. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.8 len behind Straight Fire carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Prepared to forget last start and capable of turning things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).