AU - Ballina - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CERTIFIED COPY (1) brought strong relative from to resumption but looked short of a run in much stronger at Eagle Farm. The lightly-raced galloper won his only second-up start easily at Doomben and the 7lbs claim takes care of most of the weight rise. Suited and quick improvement is on the cards. BELLZEN (3) ran into a place here second-up and has more to give over the longer sprint. Has the rail and is still well shy of his best. CARDSHARP (4) raced favourite at Lismore first up but lacked a kick after settling well back. He will have to do it the hard way again, but the longer journey suits and his best would see him in the finish. PRIVATE TENDER (6) led and placed at Lismore two back over 6 ½f, and that form would see him get some of the cash.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after three months ran last of 7 at Eagle Farm 3yo Hcp on October 11 over 5f, 4 len behind Royal Mover carrying 132lbs at $18. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw June 4 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Mingela with 128lbs at $2.20. Rates highly and the betting will be key. 1st Pick 1 Certified Copy Jockey: Courtney Ferris Trainer: Bevan Laming J: Courtney Ferris T: Bevan Laming	143	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months ran last of 7 at Eagle Farm 3yo Hcp on October 11 over 5f, 4 len behind Royal Mover carrying 132lbs at $18. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw June 4 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Mingela with 128lbs at $2.20. Rates highly and the betting will be key.
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 7 at Casino Bm50 on October 25 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Wendt with 134lbs at $3.10. Second-up 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 3 over 5f, 4 len behind Back On De Quo carrying 129lbs at $6. Draws well and can make the finish. 2nd Pick 3 Bellzen Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: David Matts J: Danny Peisley T: David Matts	103	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 7 at Casino Bm50 on October 25 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Wendt with 134lbs at $3.10. Second-up 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 3 over 5f, 4 len behind Back On De Quo carrying 129lbs at $6. Draws well and can make the finish.
4	Second-up. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Lismore Bm58 on October 19 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Snow Falcon with 129lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up ran last of 10 at Doomben Cl4 on January 27 over 6 ¾f, 7 len behind I See You Coming with 116lbs at $15. Improver with claims. 3rd Pick 4 Cardsharp Jockey: Raymond Spokes Trainer: Noel Mayfield-Smith J: Raymond Spokes T: Noel Mayfield-Smith	88	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Lismore Bm58 on October 19 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Snow Falcon with 129lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up ran last of 10 at Doomben Cl4 on January 27 over 6 ¾f, 7 len behind I See You Coming with 116lbs at $15. Improver with claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.