AU - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

82.9K

VIEW

Verdict

STORYVILLE (1) won the Peters before never looking likely in the Railway Stakes when beaten 5.1L. Pike hops back in the saddle though and this looks a very big drop in grade from what she's been taking on. Carries top weight but deserves to and looks the one to beat. MACHINE GUN GRACIE (2) is an exciting mare on resumption after winning both the Oaks and Derby last time in work. She's a very progressive type and the mile fresh looks a good move judging by her latest trial. Maps to be prominent in the run and can make an impression on debut. NOTEWORTHY (7) returned with a bang over the 7f journey and the form out of that race has been very good. Chris Parnham rides now and she boasts a strong second-up record. Can raise the bar in what looks a suitable race. BONJOY (3) has been knocking on the door this time in work and now out to the mile looks a big tick for her chances. LUVNWAR (4) won't be far away getting out to the mile now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run second last of 16 at this track in the G1 Railway on November 22 over 1m, 5 len behind Watch Me Rock carrying 117lbs at $19. The run before that won by a head at this track G3 R J Peters November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Demolish carrying 119lbs at $4.20. Ticks plenty of boxes coming back to this grade now. 1st Pick 1 Storyville Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	191	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run second last of 16 at this track in the G1 Railway on November 22 over 1m, 5 len behind Watch Me Rock carrying 117lbs at $19. The run before that won by a head at this track G3 R J Peters November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Demolish carrying 119lbs at $4.20. Ticks plenty of boxes coming back to this grade now.
2	Resuming after a eight months break. Not seen since winning won by 1.75 len this track G2 Watc Derby April 19 over 1 ½m defeating Funchal with 121lbs at $1.55. On debut second of 12 at Bunbury Mdn February 2 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Dashing Erika carrying 121lbs at $13. Impressive trial recently and she can return on a winning note. 2nd Pick 2 Machine Gun Gracie Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Justine Erkelens J: Shaun O'donnell T: Justine Erkelens	99	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resuming after a eight months break. Not seen since winning won by 1.75 len this track G2 Watc Derby April 19 over 1 ½m defeating Funchal with 121lbs at $1.55. On debut second of 12 at Bunbury Mdn February 2 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Dashing Erika carrying 121lbs at $13. Impressive trial recently and she can return on a winning note.
7	Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 72+ November 22 over 7f defeating Awesome Boy carrying 126lbs at $15. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Pinjarra Rtg 78+ on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Multinational with 119lbs at $5. Strong win fresh and she can go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 7 Noteworthy Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Grantham	158	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 72+ November 22 over 7f defeating Awesome Boy carrying 126lbs at $15. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Pinjarra Rtg 78+ on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Multinational with 119lbs at $5. Strong win fresh and she can go back-to-back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.