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8:53 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
55.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

REDBACK FLYER (6) was a good winner fresh before a 1.9L defeat last time out when sitting on the speed over the mile. He's a progressive type and he draws a little softer this time around. Can improve again now third-up into the campaign and he can get back to winning ways. CASHEL PALACE (3) won well two back before a 2.2L defeat over the 7f journey last time out. Out to the mile now and the Blinkers go on for the first time. Draws better now and she can make her presence felt. DENNIS CHOUX (7) stuck on well last start over 7 ½f and the slight rise in trip again today is ideal. Can lob just off the speed from a favourable alley and he boasts a good third-up record. Can put his best foot forward. DEAMBER (5) wasn't beaten far last week and has to be included on that effort. GINGER GREEN (4) is better than we saw last start and can bounce back off a freshen.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Redback Flyer silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Not raced for 42 days. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ December 6 over 7f defeating Rally The Troops with 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track W/Speed Mile on December 20 over 1m, 2 len behind Auto Cruise with 127lbs at $8. Third-up now, draws well and can get back to winning ways.

1st Pick
6

Redback Flyer

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Michael Lane

J: Chris Parnham

T: Michael Lane

180---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Not raced for 42 days. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ December 6 over 7f defeating Rally The Troops with 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track W/Speed Mile on December 20 over 1m, 2 len behind Auto Cruise with 127lbs at $8. Third-up now, draws well and can get back to winning ways.

3
Cashel Palace silk

At the latest run 6th of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Silver Eye carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that won by 0.8 len at this track Rtg 64+ January 1 over 7f defeating Dennis Choux carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Gets the blinkers on today and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
3

Cashel Palace

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Daniel Morton

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Daniel Morton

146---25%3/1

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Silver Eye carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that won by 0.8 len at this track Rtg 64+ January 1 over 7f defeating Dennis Choux carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Gets the blinkers on today and can bounce back.

7
Dennis Choux silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 at this track Rtg 64+ on January 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Cashel Palace with 129lbs at $41. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 17 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Bold Hero carrying 127lbs at $6. Wasn't too far off the mark last time. Can feature third-up.

3rd Pick
7

Dennis Choux

Jockey: Patrick Carbery

Trainer: David Harrison

J: Patrick Carbery

T: David Harrison

115---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 at this track Rtg 64+ on January 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Cashel Palace with 129lbs at $41. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 17 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Bold Hero carrying 127lbs at $6. Wasn't too far off the mark last time. Can feature third-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race