AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

56.0K

VIEW

Verdict

FANCY RED (3) went around favourite here last week but never really got warm when remaining at 6f. Now out to 1400 on the quick turnaround with Pike remaining with her. Draws ideally and can bounce back to her best form third-up. DUG ANOTHER HOLE (5) sat on the speed but was edged out in a photo finish here a fortnight ago. Has the speed to roll across from a tricky gate and sit on the speed yet again this time around. Knocking on the door and a he's on the cusp of another win. ZEPHYRA (2) comes back from Listed company today where she was a touch disappointing at her last start. Well weighted here following the claim of ZJP and she can make her presence felt back in trip. PLATINUM SHOT (6) was too strong from up on the speed last start and a bold showing is anticipated from up on the speed. CAMERA ACTION (8) is better than what she showed last start and can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 17 over 6f, head behind Sonoftheboss carrying 128lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 7 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 31 over 6f, 3 len behind Sonoftheboss with 129lbs at $3. Looks well placed on the quick turnaround and the extra journey looks ideal now. 1st Pick 3 Fancy Red Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Adam Durrant J: William Pike T: Adam Durrant	209	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 17 over 6f, head behind Sonoftheboss carrying 128lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 7 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 31 over 6f, 3 len behind Sonoftheboss with 129lbs at $3. Looks well placed on the quick turnaround and the extra journey looks ideal now.
5	Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 24 over 7f, nose behind Famous Dain carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Silver Eye with 120lbs at $5. Narrowly missed last start and can go one better this time around. 2nd Pick 5 Dug Another Hole Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Neville Parnham J: Brad Parnham T: Neville Parnham	143	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 24 over 7f, nose behind Famous Dain carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Silver Eye with 120lbs at $5. Narrowly missed last start and can go one better this time around.
2	Returns from a 56-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Storyville with 121lbs at $6.50. The race before that eased back early on 10th of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Toropa with 121lbs at $51. Nice effort last time. Can improve coming back in trip and grade today. 3rd Pick 2 Zephyra Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Simon A Miller	129	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a 56-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Storyville with 121lbs at $6.50. The race before that eased back early on 10th of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Toropa with 121lbs at $51. Nice effort last time. Can improve coming back in trip and grade today.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.