AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

81.7K

VIEW

Verdict

LONDON'S IMAGE (3) was very strong first-up in the Crawford and that form has been franked since. Been given time to get over the first-up effort and Fiore remains in the saddle. Expecting her to roll forward from the barrier and with improvement on the cards, she'll be tough to run down. TOROPA (5) wasn't far away first-up over 5f and she'll be much better for that run. She's a second-up winner in the past and up to 6f now is a big tick. Came into this without a trial, so she'll have plenty of improvement to come and she looks the main danger. YORGA PRIDE (12) is a lightly raced mare who has hinted she's up to this grade. Her latest run was only fair in Bm66+ grade, but she ticks plenty of boxes today with Pike back on board from a good gate. Expecting a much better performance today. CHOLLIMA (7) was only 1.5L off the winner last start and the inside draw helps her chances. TWAIN'S ANGEL (1) is third-up now and can go close with that form tying in through the Crawford.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after eight months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track in the LR Crawford on October 18 over 6f, neck behind Rope Them In with 122lbs at $5. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Bunbury Cl1 F&M September 29 2024 over 7f defeating Ayumi with 130lbs at $3. Comes through a strong form race first-up and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 3 London's Image Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Lucy Fiore T: Grant & Alana Williams	193	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track in the LR Crawford on October 18 over 6f, neck behind Rope Them In with 122lbs at $5. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Bunbury Cl1 F&M September 29 2024 over 7f defeating Ayumi with 130lbs at $3. Comes through a strong form race first-up and looks the one to beat.
5	Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 1 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Desert Whisper carrying 134lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track Rtg 72+ on May 10 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Celestial Storm carrying 130lbs at $2.90. She's better than she showed fresh and can put her best foot forward. 2nd Pick 5 Toropa Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Stephen Miller J: Brad Parnham T: Stephen Miller	157	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 1 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Desert Whisper carrying 134lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track Rtg 72+ on May 10 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Celestial Storm carrying 130lbs at $2.90. She's better than she showed fresh and can put her best foot forward.
12	Last start 6th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Smooth Chino with 127lbs at $8. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ on September 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Essentric Nature carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Looks up to this grade and gets a big tick with Pike on board. 3rd Pick 12 Yorga Pride Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	168	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start 6th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Smooth Chino with 127lbs at $8. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ on September 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Essentric Nature carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Looks up to this grade and gets a big tick with Pike on board.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.