AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

40.3K

VIEW

Verdict

ALL GRUNT (1) made progress last season and was placed 3 times in a row at Stakes level. He is unbeaten fresh up from a spell, and with 2 trials under his belt, he will be hard to hold out here. Check the market moves. LUCKY I AM (7) set the pace and was claimed late fresh up when finishing runner-up by a nose and then weakened to finish eighth here 3 weeks ago. This is easier, and from a good gate, he will be spot on to take them all the way. DE GRANDHOMME (3) has carried through his winning form at Geraldton to a game win by a nose here just over 3 weeks ago. This is tougher, but he has a better gate and can figure in the top 4 again. Each-way value. MANHATTAN STRIP (2) is fresh up and comes to hand quickly, so include him in all combos along with SHOOTING SPIRIT (8), who is due to find some form again.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten months. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at this track in the LR J C Roberts March 22 over 1m, 3 len behind Sail Session carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.9 len this track Cl1 January 15 over 6f defeating At Your Service with 129lbs at $3. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 1 All Grunt Jockey: Luke Campbell Trainer: Tiarnna Noske J: Luke Campbell T: Tiarnna Noske	143	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten months. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at this track in the LR J C Roberts March 22 over 1m, 3 len behind Sail Session carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.9 len this track Cl1 January 15 over 6f defeating At Your Service with 129lbs at $3. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
7	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 16 at this track 0Mwly on November 29 over 5f, nose behind Santanova carrying 123lbs at $12. Second run from a spell faded in the straight 8th of 11 at this track Epona Classic on December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Jaz Session with 119lbs at $3.60. Rates highly and is sure to run well. 2nd Pick 7 Lucky I Am Jockey: Chanel Cooper Trainer: Jim P Taylor J: Chanel Cooper T: Jim P Taylor	161	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 16 at this track 0Mwly on November 29 over 5f, nose behind Santanova carrying 123lbs at $12. Second run from a spell faded in the straight 8th of 11 at this track Epona Classic on December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Jaz Session with 119lbs at $3.60. Rates highly and is sure to run well.
3	Racing well recently. Most recently won by a nose at this track Cl3 C&G December 17 over 6f defeating Ranyx with 132lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 8 at Albany Rtg 58+ on December 4 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Reconnaissance carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Expected to measure up. 3rd Pick 3 De Grandhomme Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Lucy Fiore T: Adam Durrant	112	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently won by a nose at this track Cl3 C&G December 17 over 6f defeating Ranyx with 132lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 8 at Albany Rtg 58+ on December 4 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Reconnaissance carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Expected to measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.