AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.4f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

81.0K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPTAIN PLUTO (2) was far too good in the Luckygray Stakes last start, reeling in his rivals to win comfortably on the line as the fave. This shapes similarly, and the rise in trip won't be an issue. Will need some luck in the run, but expecting him to bring up back-to-back wins if he can improve on his latest effort. OPPORTUNISTIC (9) has been disappointing this campaign, though getting back onto the bigger track at Ascot and out in trip can see him recapture his best form. Not willing to go against him just yet. FILTHY HABITS (6) led the field up in the Luckgray and stuck on well enough first-up from a spell. Suspect he'll be better for that run there and he is likely to be up front once again from the draw. Will take plenty of catching if he gets it all his own way. MEMORY PARADE (8) closed off well over 1 ?m last start and rises to this trip for the first time. Won't be far away. BUCKETS RIDGE (1) can improve now out in trip and from a better gate.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.1 len at this track LR Luckygray November 8 over 1m defeating Memory Parade with 121lbs at $2.05. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Northam in the LR Northam Cup on October 26 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Red Sun Sensation carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Will get back again but can swoop around the outside as he did last time out. 1st Pick 2 Captain Pluto Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	218	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.1 len at this track LR Luckygray November 8 over 1m defeating Memory Parade with 121lbs at $2.05. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Northam in the LR Northam Cup on October 26 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Red Sun Sensation carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Will get back again but can swoop around the outside as he did last time out.
9	Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at York on November 9 over 1 ³/16m, 2.5 len behind Sowar carrying 132lbs at $2. Before that 6th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on October 25 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Asphalt with 132lbs at $2.60. Is causing headaches for punters at the moment, though this looks a suitable set up for him today. 2nd Pick 9 Opportunistic Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	170	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at York on November 9 over 1 ³/16m, 2.5 len behind Sowar carrying 132lbs at $2. Before that 6th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on October 25 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Asphalt with 132lbs at $2.60. Is causing headaches for punters at the moment, though this looks a suitable set up for him today.
6	Second-up. First-up after seven months 4th of 13 at this track in the LR Luckygray on November 8 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Captain Pluto with 120lbs at $10. Previously second-up won by a head at this track Rtg 66+ March 22 over 1m defeating What A Prince with 132lbs at $4.20. Big run fresh and he can build on that performance. 3rd Pick 6 Filthy Habits Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Brandon Fiore J: Lucy Fiore T: Brandon Fiore	122	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 4th of 13 at this track in the LR Luckygray on November 8 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Captain Pluto with 120lbs at $10. Previously second-up won by a head at this track Rtg 66+ March 22 over 1m defeating What A Prince with 132lbs at $4.20. Big run fresh and he can build on that performance.

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