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7:40 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
28.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MANGIFERA (6) made it back-to-back wins last start by 0.2L when sitting up front at Bunbury in a CL3. She looks a mare on the way up and Fiore remains in the saddle. Needs some luck from the wide draw, but she's trending the right way and can continue her winning ways. SHOW THE WAY (7) wasn't beaten far last start when flying home from the back of the pack over 7f here a fortnight ago. He's drawn out again so he's likely to get back in the run again, though the rise in trip should suit. Hasn't won for a while but he's back in good order and can go one better here. FOREVER DREAMING (4) has gone under in a photo her past couple and drops back to the 7 ½f journey today. Her form over ethe mile two back was solid and she maps for a cosy run in transit. Can get back to winning ways. JAZALOT (10) is not out of this with the rise in trip suiting. GINGER AND TONIC (9) is better than we saw last start and can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Mangifera silk

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Bunbury Cl3 January 11 over 7f defeating The Scholar with 123lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Pinjarra Cl1 December 21 over 7f defeating Eternal Romance carrying 125lbs at $1.85. Well placed. Can bring up the hat-trick.

1st Pick
6

Mangifera

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Robert Gulberti

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Robert Gulberti

135---39%13/8

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Bunbury Cl3 January 11 over 7f defeating The Scholar with 123lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Pinjarra Cl1 December 21 over 7f defeating Eternal Romance carrying 125lbs at $1.85. Well placed. Can bring up the hat-trick.

7
Show The Way silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 17 over 7f, head behind Helluva Goddess carrying 121lbs at $17. Previously second-up 5th of 13 at Bunbury Cl1 on June 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Run Pattie Run carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Fitter and worth following up.

2nd Pick
7

Show The Way

Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Laqdar Ramoly

T: Neville Parnham

95---14%13/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 17 over 7f, head behind Helluva Goddess carrying 121lbs at $17. Previously second-up 5th of 13 at Bunbury Cl1 on June 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Run Pattie Run carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Fitter and worth following up.

4
Forever Dreaming silk

Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 56+ on January 17 over 1m, nose behind Invincible Thief carrying 127lbs at $17. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on January 10 over 1m, nose behind Impressive Jewel carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Racing in top order and can go one better.

3rd Pick
4

Forever Dreaming

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Colin Webster (Jnr)

J: Troy Turner

T: Colin Webster (Jnr)

145---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 56+ on January 17 over 1m, nose behind Invincible Thief carrying 127lbs at $17. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on January 10 over 1m, nose behind Impressive Jewel carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Racing in top order and can go one better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.