AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

26.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MISSISSIPPI DAWN (11) was too good two starts back at Bunbury before a 0.7L defeat here a fortnight ago when flying home late in the race. She remains right down in the weights today and although she's likely to be back in the run, she's shown she has a bold finish. Can land the knockout blow. MAXWHOOSHTAPIN (1) stuck on strongly over this course and distance last time out when 0.9L off the winner in the same race as Mississippi Dawn. Continues to build with every run and rates a leading contender once again. AUDIO BOY (4) gets Pike in the saddle third-up today and has placed 2/3 when third-up in the past. The good barrier can see him settle much closer than we've seen in recent efforts and he's run some strong figures over this trip previously. Can end his winning drought. CAVALLO RED (2) steps up to this trip for the first time, but he's racing well and has to be included. MAJOR MARIO (5) can improve stepping up in distance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Old Mate Henry carrying 120lbs at $7. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Bunbury Cl1 September 18 over 7f on a soft track defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Flew home last start and can go a couple better this time. 1st Pick 11 Mississippi Dawn Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	168	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Old Mate Henry carrying 120lbs at $7. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Bunbury Cl1 September 18 over 7f on a soft track defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Flew home last start and can go a couple better this time.
1	Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Old Mate Henry with 132lbs at $7. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Belmont Park Rtg 69+ on September 27 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Stormageddon with 123lbs at $8. Should be positive in the run and can give a bold sight from the front. 2nd Pick 1 Maxwhooshtapin Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Misty Bazeley J: Brad Parnham T: Misty Bazeley	152	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Old Mate Henry with 132lbs at $7. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Belmont Park Rtg 69+ on September 27 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Stormageddon with 123lbs at $8. Should be positive in the run and can give a bold sight from the front.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 11 at Belmont Park 0Mwly on September 27 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Climb On Top carrying 129lbs at $7. Last start 6th of 11 at this track 0Mwly on October 11 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Wembanyama carrying 129lbs at $10. Well placed. Looks set to peak now third-up into the campaign. 3rd Pick 4 Audio Boy Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Adam Durrant J: William Pike T: Adam Durrant	179	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 11 at Belmont Park 0Mwly on September 27 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Climb On Top carrying 129lbs at $7. Last start 6th of 11 at this track 0Mwly on October 11 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Wembanyama carrying 129lbs at $10. Well placed. Looks set to peak now third-up into the campaign.

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