AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

AUTUMN GEM (9) was too good over this trip at Bunbury last start when flying from the second half of the field. Brad Parnham rides now and she should be better again third-up. Can lob into a midfield position and there's no reason why she can't repeat the dose. ADMIRE ASTRA (7) went through to the Champion Fillies before going for a break. Her trial this time in was solid and 7f on the fresh side looks a good move. Needs some luck from out wide but can storm home over the top. TORA BORA (11) won well two back before a sound effort in tougher company last start at this track and trip. That was a hot 3YO race and Nottle's claim comes in handy as she'll carry no weight. Can put her best foot forward. SOLDIER OF GOD (2) disappointed last start when pulling up with an issue but was in good form prior. Can bounce back. AITCH MONTANA (8) was too strong from the front last start and can turn in a bold performance once again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 10 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 31 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Poblano carrying 120lbs at $9. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 0.5 len at Bunbury Mdn January 11 over 7f defeating Sylva Jack carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Promising galloper. Can go on with the job now. 1st Pick 9 Autumn Gem Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Michael Lane J: Brad Parnham T: Michael Lane	161	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 10 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 31 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Poblano carrying 120lbs at $9. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 0.5 len at Bunbury Mdn January 11 over 7f defeating Sylva Jack carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Promising galloper. Can go on with the job now.
7	Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign seventh of 14 at this track in the G3 Champ Fillies November 15 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Pure Excess with 123lbs at $71. On debut second of 10 at Northam Mdn October 16 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Kazana with 119lbs at $1.85. Solid trial coming in and she can make her presence felt. 2nd Pick 7 Admire Astra Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Lucy Fiore T: Simon A Miller	138	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign seventh of 14 at this track in the G3 Champ Fillies November 15 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Pure Excess with 123lbs at $71. On debut second of 10 at Northam Mdn October 16 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Kazana with 119lbs at $1.85. Solid trial coming in and she can make her presence felt.
11	Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track 3yo Plate on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Western Ace carrying 119lbs at $12. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.6 len at Pinjarra Mdn December 26 over 7f defeating Queen Selyse with 120lbs at $3.30. Right back in grade now and can bounce back to her best. 3rd Pick 11 Tora Bora Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Jim P Taylor J: Holly Nottle T: Jim P Taylor	138	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track 3yo Plate on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Western Ace carrying 119lbs at $12. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.6 len at Pinjarra Mdn December 26 over 7f defeating Queen Selyse with 120lbs at $3.30. Right back in grade now and can bounce back to her best.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.