AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

52.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SUMMER'S LEGACY (8) flashed late in a bunched finish over 1 ?m last time out but she looks well suited getting out to the 1 ?m now. Pike sticking with her is a positive sign and she mightn't be as far back as we saw last time out. Ticks plenty of boxes and can continue to work through the grades. TWILIGHT TALE (9) kept on well over 1 5/16m in this grade last time out when 1.6L off the winner. She maps to sit handy under CJP and strikes a very suitable race on what we've seen on recent efforts. Racing well and can get the job done this time. FAME (3) has been sound in two runs back with the WA style of racing seemingly suiting him. He's likely to be back in the run but he's been in some strong races over this trip in his career. Can feature in the finish. GRAND RESERVE (6) is well suited out to this trip now and can go close with Chris Parnham replacing the apprentice. MAJOR MARIO (5) won well last start and has claims again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Most recently 7th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 129lbs at $6. The race before that came from midfield and won by a nose at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 15 over 1m defeating Extreme Love with 126lbs at $3.80. Nice mare on the up who should appreciate the rise in distance. 1st Pick 8 Summer's Legacy Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	175	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently 7th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 129lbs at $6. The race before that came from midfield and won by a nose at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 15 over 1m defeating Extreme Love with 126lbs at $3.80. Nice mare on the up who should appreciate the rise in distance.
9	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 13 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Major Mario carrying 122lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 58+ on November 1 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Long Genes with 126lbs at $3.80. Racing in good order and gets every chance today. 2nd Pick 9 Twilight Tale Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	175	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 13 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Major Mario carrying 122lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 58+ on November 1 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Long Genes with 126lbs at $3.80. Racing in good order and gets every chance today.
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 14 at Belmont Park 0Mwly on November 12 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Golden Dore carrying 132lbs at $8. Last start 6th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 132lbs at $20. Hasn't been far away in his two runs back and has claims. 3rd Pick 3 Fame Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce J: Brad Parnham T: Daniel & Ben Pearce	118	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 14 at Belmont Park 0Mwly on November 12 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Golden Dore carrying 132lbs at $8. Last start 6th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 132lbs at $20. Hasn't been far away in his two runs back and has claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.