AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

19.9K

VIEW

Verdict

FINAL CALL (1) had been working towards his win last start, sitting on the speed and scoring by 0.8L. He turned in a strong figure from the front there and he can adopt similar tactics from a good draw this time around. Building a nice profile and can repeat the dose. REEL SERENITY (5) is better than she showed last time out when sitting handy with a very slow tempo being set. She was unable to sprint with them there, but with some more pace on offer in this event that should suit her much better albeit back in trip. Draws ideally and can bounce back to her best. BIRD ON A WIRE (3) steps up in trip today following a sound effort over 1 m at Belmont last time out. She looks to get a nice run on the map and ZJP's claim comes in handy. Can make her presence felt. SWEET SURRENDER (6) won under similar circumstances at this stage of the campaign last prep and has to be included. REGAL BOY (8) wasn't far away last start and is not out of this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at this track Mdn December 10 over 1m defeating Big Man Zor carrying 128lbs at $9.50. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 15 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind La Excellence carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Too good from the front last week here and he can repeat the dose. 1st Pick 1 Final Call Jockey: Joey Azzopardi Trainer: Donna Riordan J: Joey Azzopardi T: Donna Riordan	152	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at this track Mdn December 10 over 1m defeating Big Man Zor carrying 128lbs at $9.50. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 15 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind La Excellence carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Too good from the front last week here and he can repeat the dose.
5	Last start 7th of 14 at Pinjarra Rtg 50+ on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Freedom Escape carrying 129lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 9 at this track Cl1 on November 4 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Dominatus with 129lbs at $6.50. Couldn't sprint with them last start but her prior form stacks right up in this field. 2nd Pick 5 Reel Serenity Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Justine Erkelens J: Shaun O'donnell T: Justine Erkelens	124	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 7th of 14 at Pinjarra Rtg 50+ on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Freedom Escape carrying 129lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 9 at this track Cl1 on November 4 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Dominatus with 129lbs at $6.50. Couldn't sprint with them last start but her prior form stacks right up in this field.
3	Racing well recently. Most recently raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Belmont Park Cl1 on December 3 over 1 m, 2 len behind Flinders Lane with 121lbs at $10. Before that 4th in a small field at Bunbury Cl1 on November 23 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Artistry In Motion with 123lbs at $8. Making headway. Can go a couple better out in trip now. 3rd Pick 3 Bird On A Wire Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Rebecca Nairn J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Rebecca Nairn	90	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Belmont Park Cl1 on December 3 over 1 m, 2 len behind Flinders Lane with 121lbs at $10. Before that 4th in a small field at Bunbury Cl1 on November 23 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Artistry In Motion with 123lbs at $8. Making headway. Can go a couple better out in trip now.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.