AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

39.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SUMMER'S LEGACY (10) landed just off the speed last start and bolted in over 1 m at Belmont last time out. Up to 1 ?m now is a good move, though the wide draw is a niggle. Trust Pike to get it right though and if she can improve again out in trip she'll be hard to hold out. MAJOR MARIO (9) missed narrowly in a similar race last start over this course and distance, finishing 0.6L away. He maps for a similar run this time around and he rates highly on his recent effort. Can make his presence felt once again. MISSISSIPPI DAWN (15) disappointed over this track and trip as an equal fave here last start after a strong effort here two back. Likely to get back from the draw once again, but she's better than she showed last start and improvement is on the cards. I'M CRAFTY (3) is racing well and his form ties in through Summer's Legacy. Worth including. I'M NIPOTE (5) is racing in good order and is not to be discounted.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2 len at Belmont Park Cl3 October 29 over 1 m defeating Shaula carrying 127lbs at $1.75. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track Cl3 on October 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Astro World carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Needs some luck from the draw but can win again with the rise in trip suiting. 1st Pick 10 Summer's Legacy Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	181	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2 len at Belmont Park Cl3 October 29 over 1 m defeating Shaula carrying 127lbs at $1.75. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track Cl3 on October 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Astro World carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Needs some luck from the draw but can win again with the rise in trip suiting.
9	Last start made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind Exquisite Taste with 125lbs at $11. Before that 5th of 8 at Northam Cl5 on October 8 over 1m, 3 len behind Harbin with 130lbs at $7.50. Racing well and ticks a few boxes from a favourable gate. 2nd Pick 9 Major Mario Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: Stephanie Bakranich J: Holly Watson T: Stephanie Bakranich	112	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Last start made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind Exquisite Taste with 125lbs at $11. Before that 5th of 8 at Northam Cl5 on October 8 over 1m, 3 len behind Harbin with 130lbs at $7.50. Racing well and ticks a few boxes from a favourable gate.
15	Most recently 10th of 12 at this track 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Exquisite Taste with 120lbs at $4.20. Before that 3rd of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Old Mate Henry with 120lbs at $7. She's better than she showed last start and can bounce back to form 3rd Pick 15 Mississippi Dawn Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	142	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 10th of 12 at this track 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Exquisite Taste with 120lbs at $4.20. Before that 3rd of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Old Mate Henry with 120lbs at $7. She's better than she showed last start and can bounce back to form

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.