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6:44 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
8.9f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
16.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FINAL CALL (5) should be at his peak fitness now third-up and getting out in trip looks a good move. While he's been run down his past couple, he'll be able to dictate from the front up in trip and he won't have to work as hard early this time around. Can notch up his maiden victory. PEMBETON (8) finished off well over the 7f at Belmont last start when tackling stronger company, finishing 0.5L off the winner. On the quick turnaround today as he steps up in trip for the first time. His recent efforts suggest it should suit and it wouldn't surprise to see him go one better. VEXATIOUS ROSE (13) flew home over 1 ¼m at Pinjarra last time out, going under by 1.8L after jumping the odds-on favourite. She's likely to be back from the draw again today as she comes back in trip, but she's sure to be flashing late. MACHO ARQUERO (1) is racing well and has to be included on recent efforts. ROCKING IN BROOME (9) was massive on debut at big odds and is not to be discounted.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Final Call silk

Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Northam Mdn on November 6 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Itzabeast with 128lbs at $9.50. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 15 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind La Excellence carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Shouldn't have to work as hard this time and looks ready to strike third-up.

1st Pick
5

Final Call

Jockey: Joey Azzopardi

Trainer: Donna Riordan

J: Joey Azzopardi

T: Donna Riordan

79---11%17/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Northam Mdn on November 6 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Itzabeast with 128lbs at $9.50. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 15 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind La Excellence carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Shouldn't have to work as hard this time and looks ready to strike third-up.

8
Pembeton silk

At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Belmont Park 3yo 0Mwly on December 3 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Refemme No Angel with 128lbs at $9.50. The race before that 8th of 16 at Belmont Park 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Ninetymilestraight with 126lbs at $20. Looks an improver getting out in trip now.

2nd Pick
8

Pembeton

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Brad Parnham

T: Neville Parnham

98---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Belmont Park 3yo 0Mwly on December 3 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Refemme No Angel with 128lbs at $9.50. The race before that 8th of 16 at Belmont Park 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Ninetymilestraight with 126lbs at $20. Looks an improver getting out in trip now.

13
Vexatious Rose silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Rebelnado carrying 123lbs at $1.90. Before that 2nd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, nose behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Needs some luck from out wide but she's right on the cusp.

3rd Pick
13

Vexatious Rose

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Jeremy Easthope

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Jeremy Easthope

117---35%15/8

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Mdn on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Rebelnado carrying 123lbs at $1.90. Before that 2nd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, nose behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Needs some luck from out wide but she's right on the cusp.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).