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Resulted

AU - Ascot - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
51.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BE BARDOT (4) was a dominant winner first-up before getting a long way back over 7f last time out and never featuring in the finish. She's always hinted she's better than we've seen and she gets a golden opportunity now third-up at the mile. Should be handy for Pike and get back to winning ways. FIRST ENCOUNTER (2) flew home first-up over 7f and clocked some good splits in the process. He's right back in grade today so does rise in weight, but he shapes as a horse better than this grade. May get back in the run again but looks well placed to put his best foot forward. DONT WAIT FOR LUCK (7) was very impressive at Kalgoorlie when bolting in at this grade when setting the tempo. Can roll forward from the barrier once again and if he can run up to what he did last start, he'll be hard to hold out. PROFIT POCKET (6) is better than we've seen her past couple but she's right in this if she's fit. CLASSIC ROGUE (5) is worth including off a good effort last start.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Be Bardot silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by 3 len at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Centre Bond carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Second-up got back early 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on October 18 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Essentric Nature with 128lbs at $5. This sets up better than her last start and she can return to winning ways.

1st Pick
4

Be Bardot

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: William Pike

T: Grant & Alana Williams

226---46%

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by 3 len at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Centre Bond carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Second-up got back early 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on October 18 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Essentric Nature with 128lbs at $5. This sets up better than her last start and she can return to winning ways.

2
First Encounter silk

Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 119lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Northam Wa Day on June 2 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Madame Magic with 125lbs at $3.20. Finished strongly fresh and can build on that effort now out to the mile.

2nd Pick
2

First Encounter

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Michael Grantham

203---34%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 119lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Northam Wa Day on June 2 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Madame Magic with 125lbs at $3.20. Finished strongly fresh and can build on that effort now out to the mile.

7
Dont Wait For Luck silk

Most recently scored a big 3 len win at Kalgoorlie Rtg 65+ October 4 over 1m defeating Odinaka with 121lbs at $7. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Kalgoorlie Rtg 58+ on September 21 over 1 ยน/16m, 3.5 len behind The Jester's Son with 128lbs at $2.90. Far too good in this grade at Kalgoorlie and rates a leading chance.

3rd Pick
7

Dont Wait For Luck

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Peter Fernie

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Peter Fernie

178---23%

Analysis

Most recently scored a big 3 len win at Kalgoorlie Rtg 65+ October 4 over 1m defeating Odinaka with 121lbs at $7. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Kalgoorlie Rtg 58+ on September 21 over 1 ยน/16m, 3.5 len behind The Jester's Son with 128lbs at $2.90. Far too good in this grade at Kalgoorlie and rates a leading chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.