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5:44 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 1

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8.9f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

UNIVERSAL IMPACT (6) wasn't beaten far over this course and distance last start when 0.9L off the winner. The form out of that race has been franked and she'll carry no weight again after the claim of Tsang. Tricky alley, but she finds a suitable race to knock over her maiden. CEDAR LEAF (7) will be better for the run over this course and distance last start where she finished behind Universal Impact. She remains down in the weights and finished off nicely last start. May get back again but can be finishing strongly once more. SUPAROO (4) has plenty of upside and may improve getting out in trip now. He was disappointing last start but he's among friends in this event and can improve out in trip now. FLAVOURSOME (5) flew home over 7f last start and steps right out in trip now. Creates interest. SAUCISSON (2) wasn't beaten far last start despite being a 100-1 pop and won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Universal Impact silk

Most recently 4th of 12 at this track Mdn on January 14 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Parish Prince with 114lbs at $8.50. The run before that 8th of 13 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on December 31 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Treat carrying 115lbs at $26. Finds a nice race to shed the maiden tag.

1st Pick
6

Universal Impact

Jockey: Jefferson Tsang

Trainer: Mike Santich

J: Jefferson Tsang

T: Mike Santich

167---25%3/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 12 at this track Mdn on January 14 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Parish Prince with 114lbs at $8.50. The run before that 8th of 13 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on December 31 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Treat carrying 115lbs at $26. Finds a nice race to shed the maiden tag.

7
Cedar Leaf silk

Most recently 7th of 12 at this track Mdn on January 14 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Parish Prince carrying 114lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on January 3 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Wild Things carrying 114lbs at $51. Well placed. Has upside and can improve in what looks a suitable race.

2nd Pick
7

Cedar Leaf

Jockey: Brandon Louis

Trainer: Russell Stewart

J: Brandon Louis

T: Russell Stewart

99---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently 7th of 12 at this track Mdn on January 14 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Parish Prince carrying 114lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on January 3 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Wild Things carrying 114lbs at $51. Well placed. Has upside and can improve in what looks a suitable race.

4
Suparoo silk

Having third race start. At very big odds at debut, 11th of 13 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on December 31 over 7f, 6 len behind Cosmic Treat with 126lbs at $61. Last start 8th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 13 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 125lbs at $26. Can build on what he's shown early in his career.

3rd Pick
4

Suparoo

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Colin Webster

J: Troy Turner

T: Colin Webster

81---3%33/1

Analysis

Having third race start. At very big odds at debut, 11th of 13 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on December 31 over 7f, 6 len behind Cosmic Treat with 126lbs at $61. Last start 8th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 13 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 125lbs at $26. Can build on what he's shown early in his career.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.