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7:34 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7.5f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
20.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OCEAN GODDESS (5) missed by 2L over 6f first-up at this track when closing off soundly from the back of the field. She's likely to get back from the draw once again, though Carbery remains in the saddle and she showed enough there to suggest she's on the cusp of another win. Can get the job done this time. TORA BORA (7) missed by 1.7L at this track last start and the slight rise in trip looks ideal for her again. ZJP's claim comes in handy, she draws well and she's expected to be right in the finish based on her recent figures. RISING FAME (6) sat on the speed and won two back at Bunbury before a disappointing performance as fav 35 days ago. Been freshened since then and maps nicely to bounce back to form. ZALI'S GIFT (9) has been close her past couple and getting back out in trip today is a big tick. Can get the job done this time. BARNEY ROMMEL (4) flew home to win last start and has to be included.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Ocean Goddess silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 F&M on January 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Poblano carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at this track Westspeed Heat on April 19 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Let's Talk carrying 119lbs at $8. Can improve sharply out in trip second-up.

1st Pick
5

Ocean Goddess

Jockey: Patrick Carbery

Trainer: Jessica Carbery

J: Patrick Carbery

T: Jessica Carbery

81---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 F&M on January 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Poblano carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at this track Westspeed Heat on April 19 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Let's Talk carrying 119lbs at $8. Can improve sharply out in trip second-up.

7
Tora Bora silk

Last start 4th of 11 at this track Cl1 on January 28 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Slick with 118lbs at $10. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track 3yo Plate on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Western Ace carrying 119lbs at $12. Well placed. Not far away last start and can be in the finish from the inside draw.

2nd Pick
7

Tora Bora

Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Jim P Taylor

J: Zephen Johnston-Porter

T: Jim P Taylor

138---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start 4th of 11 at this track Cl1 on January 28 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Slick with 118lbs at $10. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track 3yo Plate on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Western Ace carrying 119lbs at $12. Well placed. Not far away last start and can be in the finish from the inside draw.

6
Rising Fame silk

Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start 5th of 9 at Pinjarra Cl1 on December 31 over 7f, 4 len behind Elegant Indi with 128lbs at $3.10. The start before that favourite, won by 0.9 len at Bunbury Mdn December 18 over 7f defeating Flavoursome carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Will be tough to reel in from on the pace.

3rd Pick
6

Rising Fame

Jockey: Steven Parnham

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Steven Parnham

T: Neville Parnham

100---16%11/2

Analysis

Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start 5th of 9 at Pinjarra Cl1 on December 31 over 7f, 4 len behind Elegant Indi with 128lbs at $3.10. The start before that favourite, won by 0.9 len at Bunbury Mdn December 18 over 7f defeating Flavoursome carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Will be tough to reel in from on the pace.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.