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4:25 AM

AU - Albury - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
17.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AMBER STAR (3) impressed racing in town last preparation and is ready to fire off a narrow defeat at Wangaratta. Proven third-up and maps for the run of the race. 2x winning rider Duffy is reunited, replacing the 9lbs claiming apprentice. KING INCANTO (4) settled last in the same contest and couldn't have been more impressive getting up to win. Peaks for this, but he will give away a start and risks getting strung up from the inside draw. Has claims if things work out. HIGHLY INTRIGUED (8) has been within range without winning. Has the blinkers on for the first time and has 7lbs weight relief at this level. That gives her a hope. SHEER LUNACY (6) is racing well and is on a quick backup. He's in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Amber Star silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Cl3 on October 11 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Divazou with 130lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Wangaratta Bm56 on October 27 over 7f, slow going neck behind King Incanto with 131lbs at $6.50. Leading prospect.

1st Pick
3

Amber Star

Jockey: Jake Duffy

Trainer: Craig Weeding

J: Jake Duffy

T: Craig Weeding

142---37%7/4

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Cl3 on October 11 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Divazou with 130lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Wangaratta Bm56 on October 27 over 7f, slow going neck behind King Incanto with 131lbs at $6.50. Leading prospect.

4
King Incanto silk

Dual acceptor. Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Wangaratta Bm56 October 27 over 7f on a soft track defeating Amber Star with 137lbs at $21. The start before that second last of 7 at Cootamundra Bm58 on October 5 over 6f, 7 len behind Astunner carrying 138lbs at $3.10. Likely to feature.

2nd Pick
4

King Incanto

Jockey: Cory Parish

Trainer: Andrew Dale

J: Cory Parish

T: Andrew Dale

117---20%4/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Wangaratta Bm56 October 27 over 7f on a soft track defeating Amber Star with 137lbs at $21. The start before that second last of 7 at Cootamundra Bm58 on October 5 over 6f, 7 len behind Astunner carrying 138lbs at $3.10. Likely to feature.

8
Highly Intrigued silk

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley 0 - 56 on October 25 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Sorry Sailor carrying 128lbs at $5. Before that 4th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on October 13 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Bangalow Road with 129lbs at $10. Well placed. Everything points towards a big run.

3rd Pick
8

Highly Intrigued

Jockey: Cameron Quilty

Trainer: Saab Hasan

J: Cameron Quilty

T: Saab Hasan

132---8%13/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley 0 - 56 on October 25 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Sorry Sailor carrying 128lbs at $5. Before that 4th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on October 13 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Bangalow Road with 129lbs at $10. Well placed. Everything points towards a big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.