Heat vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 17

Heat vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG

The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) are favored (-8.5) to extend a five-game win streak when they visit the Miami Heat (21-20) at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG. The matchup's point total is 235.5.

Heat vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (60.3%)

Heat vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a record of 21-21-0 against the spread this season.
• In the Heat's 41 games this season, they have 23 wins against the spread.
• This season, 21 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total out of 41 chances.
• The Heat have hit the over 48.8% of the time this season (20 of 41 games with a set point total).
• In home games, Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread (12-11-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (9-10-0).
• In home games, the Thunder exceed the over/under 52.2% of the time (12 of 23 games). They've hit the over in 47.4% of games on the road (nine of 19 contests).
• This season, Miami is 12-9-0 at home against the spread (.571 winning percentage). Away, it is 11-8-1 ATS (.550).
• Looking at the over/under, Heat games have finished over less frequently at home (10 of 21, 47.6%) than away (10 of 20, 50%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points, 4.4 boards and 6.3 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.9 points, 1.6 assists and 8.4 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.2 points, 3.5 boards and 3.6 assists, shooting 48.4% from the field and 35.2% from downtown, with 1.1 made treys per game.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 17.2 points, 4.8 boards and 5.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 7.3 points, 3 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.1% from the field and 35.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made treys.

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell averages 23.9 points for the Heat, plus 3.7 boards and 2.7 assists.
• Bam Adebayo averages 17 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He is also making 45.5% of his shots from the field and 33.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• The Heat are getting 11.7 points, 9.9 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Kel'el Ware.
• The Heat receive 15.9 points per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr., plus 5.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is draining 46.8% of his shots from the floor and 40.2% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per contest.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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