Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 27

Heat vs. Pacers Game Info

• Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG

The Indiana Pacers (6-25) are underdogs (+7) as they attempt to stop a seven-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-15) at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 27, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG. The matchup has an over/under set at 230.5 points.

Heat vs. Pacers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Pacers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (73.7%)

Heat vs. Pacers Betting Trends

• The Heat have gone 17-13-1 against the spread this season.
• The Pacers have played 31 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Heat have hit the over 15 times this season.
• Pacers games this year have hit the over on 12 of 31 set point totals (38.7%).
• Against the spread, Miami has played worse when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and nine times in 16 road games.
• Looking at over/unders, the Heat hit the over less often at home, as they've eclipsed the total six times in 15 opportunities this season (40%). In road games, they have hit the over nine times in 16 opportunities (56.2%).
• Against the spread, Indiana has performed better at home (9-8-0) than away (6-8-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Pacers games have finished over nine of 17 times at home (52.9%), and three of 14 on the road (21.4%).

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware averages 12.4 points, 10.7 boards and 0.5 assists, shooting 55.6% from the field and 47.6% from downtown (third in league), with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Norman Powell is averaging 23.8 points, 2.7 assists and 4 boards.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.9 points, 5.5 boards and 4.6 assists.
• Bam Adebayo is averaging 18 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.9 points, 2.9 assists and 4.8 rebounds.

Pacers Leaders

• Pascal Siakam's numbers on the season are 23.1 points, 6.8 boards and 3.8 assists per contest. He is also sinking 47.1% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Per game, Andrew Nembhard provides the Pacers 17.4 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Jay Huff averages 8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He is draining 41.3% of his shots from the floor and 29.2% from 3-point range, with 1.4 treys per contest.
• Bennedict Mathurin's numbers on the season are 18.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. He is draining 42% of his shots from the field and 36% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.3 triples.
• Jarace Walker averages 9.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He is making 33.8% of his shots from the field and 30.8% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per contest.

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