Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 29

Heat vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN and ALT2

The Denver Nuggets (22-9) are favored by 2.5 points against the Miami Heat (17-15) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and ALT2. The point total for the matchup is set at 244.5.

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (53.3%)

Heat vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 18-13-0 against the spread this season.
• The Heat have played 32 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• This season, 21 of the Nuggets' games have gone over the point total out of 32 chances.
• Heat games this season have gone over the point total 50% of the time (16 out of 32 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Denver has performed better when playing at home, covering nine times in 15 home games, and nine times in 16 road games.
• In terms of over/unders, the Nuggets hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've exceeded the total 10 times in 15 opportunities this season (66.7%). In road games, they have hit the over 11 times in 16 opportunities (68.8%).
• Miami has the same winning percentage against the spread (.562) at home (9-7-0 record) and on the road (9-6-1) this season.
• Heat games have finished above the over/under 43.8% of the time at home (seven of 16), and 56.2% of the time on the road (nine of 16).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.9 points, 11.1 assists and 12.4 boards.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 25.4 points, 4.4 boards and 6.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.9% from the field and 45.7% from downtown (sixth in NBA), with an average of 3.5 made treys (sixth in league).
• Peyton Watson averages 10.7 points, 4.6 boards and 1.5 assists, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 40% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Tim Hardaway Jr.'s numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 46.5% from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.7 made treys.
• Bruce Brown is averaging 7.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.3 blocked shots.

Heat Leaders

• Per game, Kel'el Ware provides the Heat 12.4 points, 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• The Heat are receiving 23.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Norman Powell.
• The Heat are getting 16.3 points, 5.5 boards and 4.6 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr.
• The Heat are getting 18 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Bam Adebayo.
• Andrew Wiggins' numbers on the season are 16.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 48.3% of his shots from the field and 39.8% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.8 treys.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.