Butler vs Providence Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 9 seed Butler Bulldogs (13-18, 6-14 Big East) will hit the court in the Big East tournament against the No. 8 seed Providence Friars (12-19, 6-14 Big East), Wednesday at 4 p.m. ET live on Peacock.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Butler vs. Providence Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Butler vs. Providence Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Butler win (57.4%)

Before making an informed wager on Butler-Providence matchup (in which Butler is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 147.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Wednesday's game.

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Butler vs. Providence: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Butler is 15-16-0 ATS this season.
• Providence has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Butler (6-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (46.2%) than Providence (11-8) does as the underdog (57.9%).
• The Bulldogs have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (6-5-0) than they have in home games (7-10-0).
• This season, the Friars are 7-9-0 at home against the spread (.438 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Butler is 10-10-0 this year.
• Providence has 10 wins against the spread in 20 Big East games this season.

Butler vs. Providence: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Butler has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (83.3%) in those games.
• The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 10-2 when favored by -125 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Providence has a 3-15 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 16.7% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, the Friars have a record of 2-14 (12.5%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Butler has a 55.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Butler vs. Providence Head-to-Head Comparison

• Butler scores 74.4 points per game (158th in college basketball) and gives up 73.8 (236th in college basketball) for a +16 scoring differential overall.
• Butler's leading scorer, Jahmyl Telfort, ranks 173rd in the nation averaging 16.2 points per game.
• Providence has a -31 scoring differential, putting up 71.4 points per game (250th in college basketball) and conceding 72.4 (199th in college basketball).
• Providence's leading scorer, Bensley Joseph, ranks 541st in the nation, scoring 12.9 points per game.
• The 32.3 rebounds per game the Bulldogs average rank 159th in college basketball. Their opponents record 31.3 per contest.
• Andre Screen leads the team with 6.1 rebounds per game (300th in college basketball play).
• The Friars win the rebound battle by an average of 3.3 boards. They are collecting 33 rebounds per game (114th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.7.
• Oswin Erhunmwunse is 480th in the nation with 5.4 rebounds per game, leading the Friars.
• Butler ranks 101st in college basketball with 98.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 305th in college basketball defensively with 98.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Friars score 94.6 points per 100 possessions (211th in college basketball), while allowing 95.9 points per 100 possessions (252nd in college basketball).

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