Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 21

Bucks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) are favored by 9.5 points against the Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The point total is set at 226.5 in the matchup.

Bucks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (72.7%)

Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have gone 22-22-0 against the spread this season.
• In the Bucks' 42 games this year, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 23 times out of 42 chances this season.
• Bucks games this season have gone over the total in 16 of 42 opportunities (38.1%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has performed better at home, covering 12 times in 23 home games, and 10 times in 21 road games.
• In home games, the Thunder go over the total 52.2% of the time (12 of 23 games). They hit the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 52.4% of games (11 of 21).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Milwaukee has a lower winning percentage at home (.421, 8-11-0 record) than on the road (.478, 11-12-0).
• Bucks games have gone above the over/under 47.4% of the time at home (nine of 19), and 30.4% of the time away (seven of 23).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 6.2 assists and 4.3 rebounds.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18 points, 1.6 assists and 8.5 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 14 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.2% from the field and 34.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 made treys.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.3 points, 3.1 boards and 2.1 assists.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 10.4 points, 3.4 boards and 1.7 assists, shooting 45.4% from the floor and 39% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made treys per game.

Bucks Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points, 9.8 boards and 5.5 assists for the Bucks.
• Ryan Rollins' numbers on the season are 16.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest. He is making 46.3% of his shots from the field and 39.2% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.2 triples.
• Myles Turner averages 12.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He is making 42.1% of his shots from the floor and 39% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Per game, Bobby Portis provides the Bucks 13.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists, plus 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Per game, Kyle Kuzma gives the Bucks 12.6 points, 4.5 boards and 2.2 assists, plus 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks.

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