Arizona vs Arizona State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

Big 12 play features the No. 24 Arizona Wildcats (19-10, 13-5 Big 12) at home against the Arizona State Sun Devils (13-16, 4-14 Big 12) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 11 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Arizona vs. Arizona State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
- Game time: 11 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Tucson, Arizona
- Arena: McKale Center
Arizona vs. Arizona State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (87.3%)
Before you bet on Tuesday's Arizona-Arizona State spread (Arizona -17.5) or over/under (154.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.
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Arizona vs. Arizona State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Arizona has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
- Arizona State is 14-14-0 ATS this year.
- When the spread is set as 17.5 or more this season, Arizona (4-1) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (80%) than Arizona State (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
- When playing at home, the Wildcats have the same winning percentage against the spread as they do on the road (.600).
- This season, the Sun Devils are 3-9-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). Away, they are 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
- Arizona is 11-8-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
- Arizona State has six wins against the spread in 18 Big 12 games this year.
Arizona vs. Arizona State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Arizona has been victorious in 16, or 69.6%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- The Wildcats have been a -3030 moneyline favorite on five occasions this season and won every game.
- Arizona State has won seven of the 20 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (35%).
- The Sun Devils have played as a moneyline underdog of +1200 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arizona has a 96.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Arizona vs. Arizona State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Arizona's +301 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.1 points per game (31st in college basketball) while allowing 70.7 per contest (141st in college basketball).
- Caleb Love's 16.2 points per game lead Arizona and are 172nd in the nation.
- Arizona State is being outscored by 1.2 points per game, with a -35 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.9 points per game (184th in college basketball), and gives up 75.1 per outing (275th in college basketball).
- BJ Freeman's 13.7 points per game leads Arizona State and ranks 419th in the country.
- The Wildcats average 36.7 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) while conceding 28.5 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.2 boards per game.
- Tobe Awaka is 68th in college basketball action with 7.9 rebounds per game to lead the Wildcats.
- The Sun Devils rank 288th in college basketball at 30.2 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 fewer than the 33.5 their opponents average.
- Jayden Quaintance is 68th in the nation with 7.9 rebounds per game, leading the Sun Devils.
- Arizona's 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 73rd in college basketball, and the 87.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.
- The Sun Devils rank 248th in college basketball with 93.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 227th defensively with 95 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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